All week long, I have been telling everyone that it is too early to shift your focus from Major League Baseball to the NFL, and all week long, I have delivered stellar results! Two days ago, we pulled off the full scoop, as we went 11-0 and nailed all 4 of our parlay of the day bets. Yesterday, we followed that big day up with yet another big day, as we hit our 3-team all totals parlay for a juicy $700 payout!
That bet came in with winners on the Marlins/Nationals over 8 (-110), Yankees/Orioles under 9.5 (-110), and Brewers/Tigers under 9 (-110). We are now up over $1,400 bucks in just the last 2 days on totals plays alone! While the parlay hit was the highlight of the day, we found a lot of success on our straight bet action as well.
#THATSAWINNER 👏👏👏#THATSASERIESWINNER 👏👏👏 pic.twitter.com/w02oWqd5cG
— St. Louis Cardinals (@Cardinals) September 15, 2021
We found underdogs winners on the Cardinals (+155), Indians (+105), and Rays (+125), as well as winning plays on the Twins (-130) and Giants (-170). Overall, we finished up with an 8-5 record, and with many of our winners coming at even money or dog money and a 3-team parlay in the books, it was quite the profitable day. We will look to continue our red-hot week today, with everyone’s favorite way to play, the parlay! Let’s get started!
Money Line Parlay
Not all parlays are the same. In this first section, we are going to focus on money line parlays. The money line is your most basic way to bet on a baseball game. Because baseball has so few runs scored, we don’t see a point spread on a game like we do with the NFL and the NBA; rather, MLB betting offers a money line bet. With a money line bet, if you want to bet the favorite, you have to lay odds, and if you want to bet the underdog, the book will lay you odds. One example would be the New York Yankees as -200 betting favorites. That means you win $100 for every $200 that you bet on New York if the Yankees win. If you want to take an underdog, an example would be The Seattle Mariners +200. That means for every $100 you bet, you would win $200 if Seattle comes in.
Cincinnati Reds (-140) at Pittsburgh Pirates
One of our few losers yesterday came on the Cincinnati Reds, as they lost in Pittsburgh to the Pirates. Cincy fell behind 6-0 early but showed a lot of heart, as they brought it all the way back to 6-5, with the tying run at the plate in the 9th inning, before coming up a run short. The loss was especially painful, as the St. Louis Cardinals passed the Reds for the 2nd wild card spot in the National League.
The Reds are in the Steel City today for game 2, knowing that a loss would be devastating to their postseason dreams. Cincy will start young gun Vladimir Gutierrez tonight, who has been a pleasant surprise in the Reds rotation this season. Vlad has held opposing teams to 2 earned runs or less in 7 of his last 9 starts, and while he is a bit prone to the occasional blow-up start, this kid has been mostly great.
Chipping away! pic.twitter.com/bLHkL4TUCf
— Cincinnati Reds (@Reds) September 15, 2021
Mitch Keller gets the nod for the Pirates as they look to continue to play spoiler. Keller has been an unmitigated disaster at home this season, with a 2-8 record and sky-high 8.19 ERA. The Pirates have lost 6 of his last 8 starts overall, and I see another loss coming his way tonight, as this game means too much for the Reds to let it slide past. Expect Guiterrez to be solid, Keller to get lit up, and for the Reds to make up for yesterday’s blunder with a big win tonight on the road.
Colorado Rockies at Atlanta Braves (-195)
Similar to the Reds, the Braves laid an egg yesterday, losing at home to the hapless Colorado Rockies. The loss wasn’t as hard on Atlanta as it was on Cincinnati, as the Braves still hold a 4.5 game lead over the 2nd place Philadelphia Phillies, but either way, it was still a game the Braves wish they had back. Atlanta gets a shot at revenge tonight, as they again host the Rockies, this time with Huascar Ynoa on the bump.
Good evening, folks!@FreddieFreeman5 | #ForTheA pic.twitter.com/bgMF2SIGsC
— Atlanta Braves (@Braves) September 14, 2021
Ynoa was having a breakout season for Atlanta before getting shelled in a game earlier this season and after that bad start, he punched a locker in anger, breaking his hand. That bonehead move cost him 3 months’ worth of action, but he is back now and managed to pick up right where he left off, pitching well. Ynoa has a 3.22 ERA, which is more than respectable for the 23-year-old Dominican.
The Rockies will answer Ynoa with veteran starter Antonio Senzatela. Senzatela has actually pitched fairly well this season, but his solid production just hasn’t led to many wins for Colorado, particularly on the road, where he has a 1-6 record. The Rockies are just 22-51 on the road this season, and no matter how great Senzatela pitches, the Rockies still find ways to lose games. Yesterday felt very fluky, and I see a market correction today as the Braves will roll behind a stellar performance from Huascar Ynoa.
Cleveland Indians (-110) at Minnesota Twins
This line makes absolutely no sense. Indians starter Cal Quantrill has been one of, if not the, best pitcher in the American League in the 2nd half of the season. After a slow start, Quantrill has been stupid good since the All-Star break, allowing just 1 earned run or fewer in 8 of his 11 starts. That run has seen his ERA drop from 4.23 to where it stands now at 3.02. With another strong outing tonight, Quantrill could get his ERA under 3 runs, which is quite the accomplishment pitching in the hitter-friendly American League.
It is shocking that Quantrill is sitting at even money right now with how great he has been on the mound. And when you look at how Twins starter Griffin Jax has pitched this season, this line is even harder to understand. Jax has been getting pummeled most of the season, and in his last 4 starts, he has gotten hammered for a whopping 23 runs in just 20.1 innings pitched.
On the board early. 😍#OurCLE pic.twitter.com/8ABeJVlKPa
— Cleveland Indians (@Indians) September 15, 2021
The Twins lost 3 of those 4 games, and I think they are going to lose again tonight at home. There might not be a more disappointing team in the American League than these last-place Twins, and even at home, they have a losing record on the year at 34-39. I like to say that you don’t have to understand why a line is bad to exploit it, and while this number makes no sense, that won’t stop me from hammering it and getting paid on a play on the Indians.
Money Line Parlay
Cincinnati Reds -140
Atlanta Braves -195
Cleveland Indians -110
$100 Bet Pays $496
Game Total Parlay
The game total bet, commonly known as an over/under bet, is when you bet on how many total runs will be scored in a game. These totals tend to range from 7 or 8 runs on the low end up to 12 to 13 runs on the high end, and you have to pay juice on both sides of the action. A typical totals bet would be, for example, 8 total runs with -110 juice on the over or the under. If the teams combine to score 9 runs or more, the book pays out the over bets, if the game comes in at 7 runs or less the books pay the under bets, and if the total lands right at 8 runs, all bets push.
Milwaukee Brewers at Detroit Tigers under 8.5 Runs (-110)
Yesterday we took the under in the Tigers/Brewers game, and we didn’t even have to sweat it out at all, as the game hit extra innings without a single run on the board and finished up at a 1-0 final score in the 11th inning. To say that we were on the right side would be a vast understatement, they could have played this game twice and the under was still coming in! I will jump on the under again tonight as the teams run it back, as I see this game taking a similar path.
Brewers starter Brandon Woodruff is in the top-10 in the majors in basically every major pitching statistic, and after watching Freddy Peralta toy with the Tigers yesterday, I expect Woodruff to do the same tonight. Detroit starter Matt Manning isn’t any good, but if the Tigers don’t score, this game isn’t going to go over, no matter how bad Manning ends up being.
Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Dodgers Under 8 Runs (-110)
This is a sneaky good starting pitching matchup tonight in Los Angeles between Julio Urias and Merrill Kelly. Kelly doesn’t get much love pitching for the awful Diamondbacks, but he has a 2.4 WAR, which is solid, and he has a career ERA of right around 4 runs, so this guy can pitch.
And on the other side of the mound, Julio Urias is going to take home his fair share of Cy Young Award votes at the end of the season, as he leads all of baseball in wins with 17 and has a sub-3-run ERA. Game 1 of this series saw the Dodgers win 5-1, and this game feels a lot like that one, I am going under.
Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia Phillies Under 9 Runs (-110)
Who is Ranger Suarez? Well, he just might be the guy that leads the Philadelphia Phillies to the postseason. Suarez came out of nowhere this season for Philly, and he has been nothing short of remarkable. After spending most of his short MLB career pitching in relief, Suarez was thrown into the starting rotation, and he has been lights out, with a 1.38 ERA.
The problem for Ranger is that his team doesn’t like to score him very many runs, and in his 8 starts this season, the game total has finished at 8 runs or lower 7 times. That makes any game where Suarez pitches a prime candidate for an under play, and that is what I will do in this one. We are 6-0 in the last 2 days on our totals plays, and I am not about to start losing now!
Game Total Parlay
Milwaukee Brewers at Detroit Tigers under 8.5 Runs -110
Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Dodgers Under 8 Runs -110
Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia Phillies Under 9 Runs -110
$100 Bet Pays $700
The Daily Dog
Do you want a chance at jumbo payouts? The best way to stack the cash fast is by parlaying underdogs! You can find high-value underdogs on the board basically every day betting Major League Baseball, and there is no way to win faster than by parlaying a couple of dogs together and getting paid.
Boston Red Sox at Seattle Mariners (+105)
The Seattle Mariners are playing for their season tonight at home. Yesterday’s loss to the Red Sox might have looked like a blowout if all you did was check the box score, but the game was actually tightly contested much of the evening. The game was all tied up at 2-2 heading into the 8th inning, and a late surge from the Boston bats propelled them to the win.
🔊 “We’re in the hunt… let’s go!” #SeaUsRise
— Seattle Mariners (@Mariners) September 15, 2021
With the loss, the Mariners are now 3 games back of the Yankees, Red Sox, and Blue Jays for the wild card spots in the AL. A loss today wouldn’t completely end the Mariner’s chances at making the postseason for the 1st time in a generation, but it would be a brutal blow for sure. The Mariners will put their best foot forward tonight, with veteran starter Marco Gonzalez getting the nod. Marco struggled in the 1st half, but he has settled down since the All-Star break, and his team needs him to step up tonight in a major way.
And that is just what I see happening tonight in Seattle. Even with yesterday’s loss, the Mariners still have by far the best record as home underdogs in the game. Matched up today against Red Sox starter Tanner Houck, who has lost each of his last 3 road starts, I see the Mariners extending their season a bit further with a victory in a must-win game tonight at home.
San Diego Padres at San Francisco Giants (-105)
There have been numbers that are hard to understand all season long, but this one might take the cake as the single worst betting line of the season. How is it possible that the best team in the Major Leagues, let me say that again for the people in the back, the best team in the Major Leagues, is getting juice at home, against a Padres team in free fall? I mean, I get it, the Padres shouldn’t be as bad as they are right now, but that doesn’t change the fact that they are 7-22 in their last 29 games, and they are riding a 5-game losing streak.
Yeah, Joe Musgrove is a better starter than Dominic Leone, but Leone has been fantastic as the opener for the Giants and hasn’t allowed a single earned run in 7 appearances so far this month. Leone opened up game 1 of this series and tossed 2 shutout innings, and the Giants won the game 9-1. And even with as well as Joe Musgrove has pitched, the Friars are just 6-6 in his 12 starts since the All-Star break.
“This was a good win tonight. To come out and play good, crisp baseball after celebrating last night, it was a good win”
(@BusterPosey x @amygmultimedia) pic.twitter.com/P67GSpibZ2
— SFGiants (@SFGiants) September 15, 2021
Still not convinced that this line is whack? Then just take a quick glance at the home/away splits for these teams. The Giants are 2nd in the NL in home field winning percentage, with an elite 47-23 record. The Padres on the road? They are a shamefully bad 30-39. San Diego got swept on the road by the Dodgers in their last series, and they are going to get swept by the Giants in this series, as this nightmare finish to their season continues.
The Daily Dog Money Line Parlay
Seattle Mariners +105
San Francisco Giants -105
$100 Bet Pays $401
Get Rich Or Die Trying
In this final section, we are going to go for the jumbo payouts! These are your lottery ticket types of plays that aren’t going to come in all that often but pay off big time when they do. A wise man once said, if you don’t swing hard, you never hit any home runs. Well, in this section, we swing for the fences!
Miami Marlins (-125) at Washington Nationals
The Miami Marlins don’t win very often on the road, but we did find a winner on Miami in game 1 of this series, and I see them finding a way to win again tonight in game 3 in Washington. Why? Starting pitching. The Fish took game 1 behind a dominating outing from Sandy Alcantara, and with rookie sensation Trevor Rogers going tonight, I see Washington doing a lot of swinging and missing. Rogers has an impressive 2.73 ERA on the year, and when compared to Nationals starter Josh Rogers, who has just 38.1 career MLB innings under his belt, and an ERA north of 7 runs, Miami is the side to be on.
Tampa Bay Rays at Toronto Blue Jays (-170)
I am 2-0 betting on this series as I took Toronto in game 1 and Tampa Bay in game 2, and both bets came in. I will look for the series sweep tonight in game 3 and back the Blue Jays. Robbie Ray has surprised just about everybody this season, as he has returned to his former All-Star self from several years ago and will be getting a real look for the AL CY Young Award at the end of the season. Ray hasn’t been charged with a loss since July, and prior to his last outing, he has held opposing teams to 2 earned runs or fewer in 11 out of his previous 12 starts, including 8 straight.
Our ace looks for the series win 🔥 #WeAreBlueJays pic.twitter.com/o2ObKgwyvp
— Toronto Blue Jays (@BlueJays) September 15, 2021
Ray’s brilliance alone would have been enough to make me like a play on the Blue Jays, but with embattled veteran starter Michael Wacha going for Tampa Bay, I love a play on the Jays! Wacha is 1-3 with a 6.28 ERA on the road this season, and despite the Rays having the best record in the AL, they are just 3-5 in his last 8 starts. Either Robbie Ray goes out and wins this game for the Blue Jays, or Michael Wacha goes out and gives it away, either way, we are cashing our ticket on Toronto.
Houston Astros -1.5 Runs (-130) at Texas Rangers
The Houston Astros have been a strange team this season. They have the top run differential in the American League this season, and no team has covered the run line more than Houston has so far this year. But when they lose, they lose big. We saw that last night when they got blown out by the Texas Rangers.
That dynamic has made it fairly easy to bet on Houston on the run line, as they either win by multiple runs, or they lose, and the run line doesn’t hurt you. I will follow that trend in this one and back Houston laying that run and a half, as they are either going to run it up, or get run out of the building.
Oakland Athletics (-135) at Kansas City Royals
Our final play of the day comes to us from Kansas City, as the Oakland Athletics will continue their push towards the postseason against the Royals. The A’s haven’t been playing good baseball in the last several weeks, and after looking like a legit threat to the Astros dominance in the AL West Division, they are now scrambling for a shot at the wild card in the AL.
Sean Manaea gets the start tonight for the A’s in a must-win spot, and after an awful month of August, he has things turned back around here in September for the stretch run. Manaea has a 1.93 ERA this month in 2 starts, pitching 7 innings against both the White Sox and Blue Jays, 2 of the best hitting teams in the game. Royals starter Mike Minor hasn’t pitched all that poorly, but that doesn’t change the fact that KC hasn’t won a game where he has started since July! A span of 7 consecutive starts. Oakland needs this one bad, and I think that they get the job done tonight on the road.
Get Rich Or Die Trying Parlay
Miami Marlins -125
Toronto Blue Jays -170
Houston Astros -1.5 Runs -130
Oakland Athletics -135
$100 Bet Pays $881
Parlays are a great way to make quick cash, and here you have four different ways to get in on the parlay bet action! Betting on Major League baseball can be both fun and exciting, as well as being very profitable! Make sure you swing by TheSportsGeek’s Major League Baseball betting page, where our team of pro handicappers bring you sharp betting advice and free MLB picks each and every day!